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If all our happiness is bound up entirely in our personal circumstances it is difficult not to demand of life more than it has to give. - Bertrand Russell

The Dunning-Kruger Effect Today

More than once I’ve encountered “experts” who knew too little and regarded themselves highly alongside “experts” who had a wealth of knowledge and experience to share but were either overshadowed or felt inadequate resulting in a severe lack of confidence and often skewed or biased conversation with no real value, meaning or positive outcome. Basically, you can’t make something out of nothing. If you have nothing to bring to the table you’re more likely to impair third parties with leveling knowledge.

Standards for expertise have been severely reduced and the Internet, with its most recent child, Social Networks, have done wonders to spread knowledge and popularize the conceptual understanding of several industries that rely heavily in this medium. Furthermore the sheer act of “massification” has distributed information previously digested and processed by more trained experts in relatively new fields which has everyone else thinking that that simplified analysis of how systems work is functionally operational and true .

What’s worse in fact is that this lack of general vision or pragmatic honesty did not only not lead to experts but people who think they are.

Poor performers tend to grossly overestimate their knowledge and performance and even further research has proven that after little to no training (which results in no proved improvement) the same people will even more vehemently defend an outstanding illusion of performance.

It’s a shame that this “digital age” has expanded this concept to an annoying extreme and that so few make an effort when assessing and following some “social media virtuosos”.

If you’d like to buy and read the full research click here.

For good measure.

I’ve recently come to the realization of how little we actually understand from the massive statistical overload thrown at us these days.

With 600 million Facebook users, 6 billion people in the world and around 200 that will read this post do you know how to interpret what that actually means?

Have you ever seen 1 million little tiny human beings together?

Of course not.

So today I wonder, what is it, that these microconnections (macro actually), momentary lapses of socialization or interaction really become when you don’t have a real grasp of your reach and the potential audience out there? Light years where put in place to explain, in simpler terms, distances absolutely incomprehensible to men.

What’s 40 million miles or 400 million miles?
It’s fucking far away.

Does arguing that 10 million is greater 600 million makes a difference when trying to understand?
Hell no.